2018 Movie Rankings

2018 proved to be a solid year for movies, the spillover of the Oscar season which opened the year proving especially strong. More and more studios are landing the big blockbusters, whilst finding quality middle budget films to release in the mainstream.

The downside has been a less that interesting Oscar season at the tale end of the year, but still plenty to see.

For for all my critical comments, there are good movies this year well into the 30s, and that’s a pretty good effort.

As always, I’m ranking all the movies I’ve seen in the cinema in the 2018 calendar year. I fell short of my 2017 record of 54 movies, but 52 isn’t bad!

Lucas Hedges backs up starring in my number 1 film for 2017 with no less than three appearances in the top 10 for 2018!

Timothée Chalamet has two top 20 films this year, after debuting on my 2017 list at #4, whilst Steve Carrel and newcomer Henry Golding also have two films in my top 20.

As always I’m sure there’ll be a lot on this list people will disagree with, and a lot of films I missed people will recommended seeing, and I look forward to your feedback and thoughts!

So, here we go!

 

1.Lady Bird

This is a simply lovely movie, which featured heavily during the awards season at the start of the year. The cast is incredible – Saoirse Ronan, Laurie Metcalf, Lucas Hedges, Timothée Chalamet – three of them rising stars who already had Oscar nominations prior to appearing in this film. I’m also a fan of John Karna in a minor role.

The script is a delight, and the direction engaging without ever being pretentious. The twists are natural, and kept my interest, as did the characters.

Just a perfectly told story; what cinema is meant to be.

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2. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Another from the 2018 awards season which tells a good story with a great cast. Francis McDormand and Sam Rockwell each deservedly won Oscars for their roles in this film, and they’re well supported by Woody Harrelson, Peter Dinklage, and Lucas Hudges.

The plot is simple, but the characters are utterly gripping.

Comes second rather than first only because of the darker edges which at times make it a tough watch.

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3. Love, Simon

Nick Robinson stars in an incredibly enjoyable comedy-drama that moves easily between bringing a lump to your throat and a smile to you face. Human, warm, and enjoyable. Jennifer Garner and Josh Duhamel give pitch perfect performances as Simon’s parents, and the younger cast members are equally solid.

Whilst it does inhabit the middle class fantasy middle America of most High School dramas, it is a delightful watch.

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4. First Man

This makes the top 5 on the back of spectacle, as it is an amazingly well filmed movie; Damien Chazelle deserves another Best Director Oscar nomination for this film.

First Man brings home the achievement of landing on the moon, and doesn’t pull punches in getting there. Ryan Gosling gives a strong but introspective performance, but this movie isn’t about the cast; it literally is about the journey.

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5. Bohemian Rhapsody 

It’s hard to describe why this film is so amazing, but it is. Yes, some of the timeline is shifted around for narrative and dramatic reasons, but it all works. Just watch it, because its great.

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6. Avengers: Infinity War

This film manages to bring together characters and plot threads from more than a dozen other movies, and still manages to be a gripping adventure, which sucks the audience in. Learning the lesson of 2017, Infinity War remembers to bring the humour as well as the drama. One of the best comic book movies of the last decade.

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7. Ready Player One

A nostalgia-fest that worked for me. Spielberg has a lot of fun with this film, and I was happy to have fun with him. He proves he still knows how to film an action-adventure tale with some heart, and that’s exactly what Ready Player One is.

Tye Sheridan is good as the lead, but needs to land a performance with more confidence than this if he has a future as a leading man.

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8. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

The latest in what is probably my favourite film franchise, this delivered lots of dinosaurs doing cool stuff. And that makes me happy! Some of the plot conceits (especially the nature of the film’s antagonist) were a little hard to swallow, but I still enjoyed the film, and I’m certainly very excited for the next in this second trilogy! Plus, this is the year I actually visited Jurassic Park, so… bonus points!

The final images left be begging for the next one!

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9. Crazy Rich Asians

One of the surprise box office smashes of the year, this movie is incredibly fun, and looks sumptuous. The plot and the characters are nothing we haven’t seen before, but transposed into this world, with this cast, it feels new and interesting, especially with some delightful minor characters thrown into the mix. Henry Golding stars in one of two great performances in 2018.

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10. Boy Erased

This is not an exciting movie, as the script eschews drama for emotion, but it delivers in spades on the emotion and the message. Lucas Hedges stars in one of his three top 10 movies for me this year, with a brilliant but subtle and contained performance. Emotionally tough, but very well done.

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11. Black Panther

Better than I expected it to be, but not quite worthy of being in the top 10. Yes, some great performances and the expected high quality Marvel visuals, but in the end I just didn’t care enough about the world and the characters to get this into the top 10.

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12. The Exception

Christopher Plummer stars as the deposed Kaiser Wilhelm II at the start of world war II, along side Jai Courtney as the new captain of his guard. Witty, elegant, and very well acted. This film didn’t get a lot of attention, but is really quite wonderful. Small, but wonderful.

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13. Solo: A Star Wars Story

The irony of this film is that – I’m certain – many of those who didn’t bother to see it because of their problems with casting or with other films probably would have enjoyed it. Solo did what it said on the tin, being a fun and exciting space adventure. I really enjoyed it.

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14. A Simple Favour

The black comedy of 2018! This film shifts between drama, humour and mystery with the greatest of ease. Henry Golding gives another great performance, but the stars are Anna Kendrick and Blake Lively clearly just having fun with their roles. Andrew Rannells is also great in his supporting role. The mystery works as one that isn’t obvious, but also doesn’t cheat, and the twists kept me guessing about the final outcome right until the end.

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15. Vice

This is a hard movie to judge.

Without doubt it is a very clever script and film structure, and very well made.

Christian Bale is excellent as Cheney, and Steve Carrel likewise as Rumsfeld.

As the story of how a ne’re-do-well from Wyoming who ends up as Vice President, it does very well.

As a warning about the growth of the imperial presidency over the last forty years, it is also very effective.

That’s enough for me to put it neatly inside the top 20.

However, Rockwell is terrible as George W Bush, and the narrative is so warped and selective, leaving out critical context, that an otherwise excellent movie is rather diminished. Not top 10.

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16. Lean on Pete

Another movie that didn’t get the attention it deserved, this is an excellent character tale about a young man’s quest for a new life, accompanied by a horse. Beautiful scenery adds to a story I totally bought in to. But it also has several massive gut punches. A really effective piece of cinema. I hope to see the young lead, Charlie Plummer, in more films over the coming years.

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17. Maze Runner: Death Cure

I really enjoyed this YA trilogy with an excellent cast. Dylan O’Brien, Tom Sangster and Will Poulter are all back for a finale, that has some amazingly, AMAZINGLY, good direction, especially for an action film.

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18. Beautiful Boy

As a vehicle to show off the talents of Timothée Chalamet and Steve Carrel, this is an excellent film. There’s no doubt I felt for both characters and was impressed by the movie. However, the pacing is simply too slow, with the result that what should have been a top 10 movie with real Oscar buzz is only a very good movie.

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19. Breath

An adaption of Tim Winton’s book, this is a good story with some great Australian location filming, and Richard Roxburgh adding gravitas to what can sometimes be a little too whimsical (the ongoing sin of Australian cinema).

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20. BlacKKKlansman

Clever, amusing, but with a serious point. John Washington and Adam Driver are great in the lead roles, although Topher Grace as David Duke frequently threatens to steal the show. I was certainly very well entertained by the film.

Where is falls down in the sense of hesitancy from director Spike Lee in not being sure how to balance the humour with the serious point he clearly wants to make.

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21. Chappaquiddick 

This movies tells the story of Senator Kennedy at Chappaquiddick very well, and has some really good moments. But none of the performances really shine, and overall it lacks the spark to be a truly good film.

 

22. The Favourite

A mostly fun – but also mostly fabricated – story set in the court of Queen Anne. What should have been an excellent movie was let down by a script writer trying to hard to shock, and a director trying far, far too hard to show off. The near-universally and inexplicably overrated Olivia Coleman gives her usual performance lurching from shrill & melodramatic to flat and lifeless, but on this occasion it suits the character. Nicholas Hoult doesn’t seem to be sure how he arrived in the film, but manages to have some fun. And there is a lot of fun to be had, but, its all just trying a little bit too hard.

 

23. The Meg

A cool shark movie. Job done!

 

24. I, Tonya

This film received a lot of awards buzz a year ago, and is overall very well made. But looking back, I’m really not sure what the point of it is. Were it not for Allison Janney’s amazing (and Oscar winning) performance, I think this would be a very forgettable movie. But watch it just for her!

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25. Deadpool 2

This was good. It was fun. Once again, the “fourth wall” jokes were the highlight. But it was never going to capture the “where did this come from!?” feel of the original, and the plot is very low stakes, really. 

 

26. 2001: A Space Odyssey 

My first time seeing this on the big screen, and it’s a remarkable spectacle. No doubt the cinema experience adds considerably to this film. But its still bizarre!

 

27. Aquaman

There’s two-and-a-half movies happening in this film, which means that there’s no lack of action. And DC have finally realised that comic book movies need to be the fun. Its easily the best DC film for sometime, and I was well entertained.

 

28. Ant Man and the Wasp

What can I say about this movie? I enjoyed it, but was never really gripped by it.

  

29. Mamma Mia: Here we Go Again

Basically saved by Cher. Once again there’s a lot of fun, and the ending is very nicely done. As another crack at the format its entertaining enough. But yeah, without Cher would have been very forgettable.

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30. Adrift

As a vehicle to show off what Shailene Woodley can do, this works very well. Some of the filming is also remarkable. But in the end it’s a very straight forward story with a VERY obvious twist. Good for filling in a couple of hours, but missable.

  

31. The Death of Stalin

A film from Armando Iannucci (who’s work I consider a lot more hit and miss than many others do). This film could have been so much better, but a basically very good script (from Iannucci) is let down by very flawed direction (from Iannucci). No one seems to know what tone the movie is going for, and the performances are frankly all over the shop. Even Michael Palin seems to be playing it a little too safe. The exception is Jason Isaacs, who clearly has decided to cut through the directorial equivocation and just enjoy himself!

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32. The Shape of Water

I want to rank this Best Picture winner more highly, but I really can’t. Its magical and whimsical and intellectually brilliant in many ways… But is it enjoyable? Not especially. I can appreciate it, and certainly respect it… but as a story, its just a little too weird and detached for me.

 

33. Midnight Oil 1984

This was a fun look back at the band in its earlier days, but even for a doco sadly lacked narrative and context.

 

34. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald

Cut thirty minutes out of this film, and it would likely be a very exciting movie with another fun performance from Eddie Redmayne. But as it is, it is SO SLOW. For every amazing scene, there’s either a lot of standing around, or a character doing something for no narrative reason. Should have been better. But I didn’t hate it at all.

 

35. Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool

Another film that I basically enjoyed, but which lacks a certain sparkle. Annette Being and Jamie Bell are very good as the leads, and that’s enough to make the film work and keep it in the middle of this list. But, had the potential to be more than it is.

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36. Ocean’s 8

I had fun watching this. None of the ideas or performances are stand out, but neither was I bored at any point. Just a good film.

  

37. Incredibles 2

I’m not as big a fan of the first movie as others, and so was judging the sequel very much on its own merits. And its… fine. Nothing is especially original, but it’s a fun enough romp. Basically.

 

38. The Post

If this was a small, indy film I’d probably have been impressed by it. But its not. Its directed by Spielberg, and stars Tom Hanks and Meryl Streep! As such it really does underperform, and isn’t nearly as clever as it thinks it is. Streep especially is giving a bizarre and slightly unhinged performance, in a narrative that’s ultra-linear. Good, but should have been more.

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39. The Darkest Hour

A basically sound film covered in so much treacle as to be a little sickening. A waste, really.

 

40. Kin

I like what they were trying to do with this sci-fi film, and they get very close to being a good film. But it is VERY disjointed as it moves between crime thriller, sci-fi action, and personal drama. Sadly the whole is less than the sum of its parts, but worth a look if you’re curious.

 

41. The Predator

Yeah. This was fine.

 

42. Darkest Minds

I’ll admit to being a bit of a sucker for a YA dystopia, and this is very typical of the genre. A very complicated conceit that’s created the dystopian world, and results in our lead having a very special role to play in the world. Within that, everything works pretty well.

However, it suffers from the cardinal sin of saving all the best stuff for the (hoped for) sequel and just using the “first” movie as a basic world builder, thus ensuring it lacks the impact to GET a sequel. But it has a lot of company in this.

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43. Johnny English Strikes Again 

I laughed a few times, and it has fun doing what its doing, but it was all a little too stupid, really. 

 

44. My Friend Dahmer

Ross Lynch gives a great performance as the young future serial killer Jeffrey Dahmer. But sadly there just isn’t 100 minutes of plot here, as the movie only takes us to the point of Dahmer’s first murder.

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 45. Wrinkle in Time

I suspect this is a story that works better as a book than a film. There’s some really interesting ideas at work in this film, but many of them have to be told to us or explained to us rather than shown to us. And it all becomes a bit of a mess at the end. That said though there’s some lovely visuals and the ideas ARE interesting. It just doesn’t quite hang together as a film.

 

46. Happytime Murders

Some of the jokes with the puppets were good, but… it just wasn’t that funny, and Melissa MaCarthy just isn’t very good.

 

47. The Guernsey Literary and Potato Peel Pie Society 

A really interesting idea, but the end result is just too twee to live. Whimsy is not plot!

 

48. Disobedience 

Another in the “really interesting idea” group, but wow this is so terribly slow and dull, and really fails to say anything interesting or insightful about the Jewish community in which its set.

 

49. Truth or Dare

A fairly stupid horror movie which changes its own rules as it goes along. Saved from being bottom 3 for the year by the cast including Tyler Posey, Hayden Szeto and Nolan Funk.

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 50. A Star is Born

A terrible film! Its a film about horrible people being horrible to each other in incredibly uninteresting and unrelatable ways. Stefani Germanotta gives a decent performance, but otherwise this was tough to sit through.

 

51. All The Money In the World

It’s a little hard to judge this film as weeks before release Kevin Spacey was replaced as the lead by Christopher Plummer. But in the end it IS boring, poorly structured, and manages to make a mafia kidnapping seem dull.

  

52. Christopher Robin

This really is a complete mess. It doesn’t know what its doing, thinks twee moments with CGI characters substitutes for narrative, and really is just embarrassing. Avoid.

 

 

Dr Who Preference Revealer

In June last year JR from the Blue Box Podcast posted a link to a Dr Who “preference revealer”, an algorithm which asks you to continue to choose your favourite of two Doctor Who stories compared to each other, and then ranks your preferences based on your answers.

With 283 stories on the list, there’s a lot of preferences to pick before the list is locked in!

The result is interesting, because unlike a list of favourites or rankings that you would construct factoring in various things (such as wanting to balance or represent eras, for example, or perhaps placing some stories higher because reputation influences you view of where a story “should” belong) it’s just a raw ranking blind, by gut instinct.

The results I got in June didn’t really shock me; my favourites were at the top, and stories I really dislike at the bottom. But I was disappointed at how far down the list all the New Who stories were.

I speculated at the time that this was because when picking my favourite of two stories “by gut” in quick succession, the nostalgia and fondness for the classic series gave it a slight advantage over the New Series.

So 10 months later I’ve done the test again, this time more slowly and trying to give the New Series more credit where I feel it deserves it.

The full list is posted below.

No doubt most people will agree with many of the rankings, as its a personal choice thing. But I think it makes interesting reading.

Whilst my list is skewed towards the classic series (this will always likely be the case, as long held favourites win out), the New Series did better, perhaps going someway towards proving my theory.

My top 10 this time is:

1. Doctor Who and the Silurians
2. The Seeds of Doom
3. The Dalek Invasion of Earth
4. Marco Polo
5. Survival
6. The Daleks’ Master Plan
7. Human Nature / Family of Blood
8. City of Death
9. Bad Wolf / The Parting of the Ways
10. Blink

 

These are all personal favourites of mine, and I think very close to a Top 10 list I’d construct myself.

Although I would have Marco Polo in my Top 10, 4th does seem a little high, but clearly it won out when compared to others in the Top 10, as indeed did Survival coming 5th.

There are now three New Who stories in my top 10, compared to none last time, and I think as a result this is a much fairer list.

Eleven of the Top 30 are New Who, also a significant improvement.

These Top 11 New Whos are:

7. Human Nature / Family of Blood
9. Bad Wolf / The Parting of the Ways
10. Blink
13. World Enough and Time / The Doctor Falls
14. Listen
19. The Empty Child / The Doctor Dances
21. Dalek
22. The Day of the Doctor
23. Midnight
26. The Stolen Earth / Journey’s End
29. The Impossible Planet / The Satan Pit

A pretty solid list that represents well my favourite of the New Series. Each of the New Series Doctors makes that list as well.

By Doctor, there’s certainly some interesting preferences….

Here’s the Top 5 of each Doctor:

 

Hartnell:

3. The Dalek Invasion of Earth
4. Marco Polo
6. The Daleks’ Master Plan
18. The Aztecs
25. The Daleks

Five stories inside the Top 25 (and three in the Top 10) is indicative of this being my favourite era of the show, and that all five are either historicals or Dalek stories says a lot as well. The Ark is also just inside the Top 30.

The lowest Hartnell is The Space Museum, 21st from the bottom.

 

Troughton:
12. The Evil of the Daleks
28. Tomb of the Cybermen
31. The Invasion
41. Power of the Daleks
44. Fury From the Deep

A reasonable spread, with traditional classics there. And indeed, something for each of his seasons.

The lowest Troughton is The Dominators, 33rd from the bottom.

 

Pertwee:

1. The Silurians
15. Inferno
17. Invasion of the Dinosaurs
20. Spearhead from Space
38. Ambassadors of Death

Not a shock that my Pertwee’s are basically “season 7 plus Dinosaurs!” Pertwee also gets the Green Death inside the Top 40.

The lowest Pertwee is The Monster of Peladon at 14th from the bottom.

 

Tom Baker:

2. The Seeds of Doom
8. City of Death
11. The Robots of Death
27. Pryamids of Mars
48. The Ark in Space

The Deadly Assassin at 49 also makes the Top 50.

I’m disappointed nothing from season 18 made the Top 50, as these likely would on a “constructed” list. There are a lot of Tom’s in the 50s and 60s.

Genesis of the Daleks came in far lower than it should.

The lowest ranked Tom Baker stories are Underworld at 5th last, and Creature from the Pit at 6th last.

 

Davison:

24. Planet of Fire
35. The Five Doctors
58. The Caves of Androzani
67. The Visitation
90. Frontios

Davison seems to be poorly served here. With Earthshock at 93 and Enlightenment at 99 he only has seven stories in the Top 100. I thought he’d do better, but it seems his stories didn’t win in my gut.

I also note his stories are heavily skewed towards season 21, as well.

His lowest story was The Awakening, 35th last. So he fairs better there with few real stinkers.

 

Colin Baker:

118. Terror of the Vervoids
146. The Mysterious Planet
152. The Two Doctors
154. Vengeance on Varos
183. Timelash

Oh dear.

This is a great example of how the revealer works. If constructing a list I wouldn’t have a Colin in the top 20, but I would have had him in the mix in the Top 50 at least. But here, his best story comes in at 118.

Curious that my top 2 Colin’s are both from Trial…

Sadly Colin doesn’t do well at the other end, either.

I have Twin Dilemma as 3rd worst, the lowest classic era story.

 

McCoy

5. Survival
16. Remembrance of the Daleks
43. The Curse of Fenric
55. The Happiness Patrol
65. Dragonfire

A fair assessment, I think. McCoy rightly is represented in the Top 10, and again in the Top 20. However, I don’t think his era bats that deep, and we have to go to 65th to get his top 5.

Ghost Light at 28th last is his lowest, one place below Time and the Rani. Its not the order I would have put them in if assessing manually.

 

McGann…. The TV movie is at 180.

 

Eccleston:

9. Bad Wolf/Parting of the Ways
19. The Empty Child/The Doctor Dances
21. Dalek
51. Father’s Day
92. Rose

With only 10 stories, Eccleston places fairly well, getting three in the Top 30, and seven individual episodes in the Top 100.

A little surprised at the order the top 3 Ecclestons came out in, but they’re certainly my Top 3.

His bottom story is Boomtown at 15th, and Aliens of London/World War 3 at 16th from the bottom.

 

Tennant:

7. Human Nature/Family of Blood (also the top New Who story)
10. Blink
23. Midnight
26. The Stolen Earth/Journey’s End
29. The Impossible Planet/The Satan Pit.

The Idiot’s Lantern at 33 and Turn Left at 36 mean DT gets seven stories in the Top 40, which considering I’m not a huge fan of his Doctor says something about the stories themselves, as it’s a very strong showing. Once again, nicely spread across his seasons.

Utopia makes it into the Top 50 at 50.

My lowest ranking of his era was The Lazarus Experiment which came 4th last.

 

Smith:

22. The Day of the Doctor
37. Amy’s Choice
42. Vincent and the Doctor
76. Dinosaurs on a Spaceship
111. A Town Called Mercy

An era I’ve said before I didn’t enjoy much on broadcast, so although Smith gets three stories in the Top 50, he really doesn’t do well in the Top 100 compared to other Doctors.

Time of Angels/Flesh and Stone only coming in at 119 surprised me; I would have placed this above both Dinosaurs on a Spaceship and Town Called Mercy if constructing this.

Smith’s lowest story is 2nd lowest on my list; Let’s Kill Hitler.

 

Capaldi:

13. World Enough and Time/The Doctor Falls
14. Listen
32. Face the Raven
45. Under the Lake/Before the Flood
63. Eaters of Light

With Oxygen at 69 and Time Heist at 73, Capaldi has a good spread of his era across the higher end of the list.

I should also note, Heaven Sent came in at 95 when it really should be Top 40 (and a Top 3 Capaldi story), and I’m certain that this is because I kept getting confused between this episode and Hell Bent (which came 144)!

Sadly Capaldi also gets the lowest story on my list, as Dark Water/Death in Heaven came in at 283.

 

So there you have it!

I think its an interesting process to see how a list goes when constructed “blind” in effect, and I think the New Series is slowly started to work its way into the list more fairly!

Of course, its all about what stories I personally like and enjoy, and is not remotely a fair or objective assessment.

Here’s the full list…

 

1. Doctor Who and the Silurians
2. The Seeds of Doom
3. The Dalek Invasion of Earth
4. Marco Polo
5. Survival
6. The Daleks’ Master Plan
7. Human Nature / Family of Blood
8. City of Death
9. Bad Wolf / The Parting of the Ways
10. Blink
11. The Robots of Death
12. The Evil of the Daleks
13. World Enough and Time / The Doctor Falls
14. Listen
15. Inferno
16. Remembrance of the Daleks
17. Invasion of the Dinosaurs
18. The Aztecs
19. The Empty Child / The Doctor Dances
20. Spearhead from Space
21. Dalek
22. The Day of the Doctor
23. Midnight
24. Planet of Fire
25. The Daleks
26. The Stolen Earth / Journey’s End
27. Pyramids of Mars
28. The Tomb of the Cybermen
29. The Impossible Planet / The Satan Pit
30. The Ark
31. The Invasion
32. Face the Raven
33. The Idiot’s Lantern
34. The Crusade
35. The Five Doctors
36. Turn Left
37. Amy’s Choice
38. The Ambassadors of Death
39. The Tenth Planet
40. The Green Death
41. The Power of the Daleks
42. Vincent and the Doctor
43. The Curse of Fenric
44. Fury from the Deep
45. Under the Lake / Before the Flood
46. Mission to the Unknown
47. The Massacre
48. The Ark in Space
49. The Deadly Assassin
50. Utopia
51. Father’s Day
52. The Romans
53. Full Circle
54. The Face of Evil
55. The Happiness Patrol
56. Horror of Fang Rock
57. The Stones of Blood
58. The Caves of Androzani
59. Terror of the Autons
60. The Moonbase
61. The Mind of Evil
62. The Sontaran Stratagem / The Poison Sky
63. The Eaters of Light
64. Terror of the Zygons
65. Dragonfire
66. Image of the Fendahl
67. The Visitation
68. The Brain of Morbius
69. Oxygen
70. Genesis of the Daleks
71. The Mind Robber
72. The Macra Terror
73. Time Heist
74. Logopolis
75. Cold War
76. Dinosaurs on a spaceship
77. The Pirate Planet
78. An Unearthly Child
79. The Ribos Operation
80. The Reign of Terror
81. The Talons of Weng-Chiang
82. The Rescue
83. School Reunion
84. Frontier In Space
85. The Daemons
86. The Keys of Marinus
87. The Celestial Toymaker
88. The Abominable Snowmen
89. Robot of Sherwood
90. Frontios
91. The Web of Fear
92. Rose
93. Earthshock
94. Smile
95. Heaven Sent
96. Warriors’ Gate
97. The War Games
98. State of Decay
99. Enlightenment
100. The Waters of Mars
101. Planet of the Spiders
102. Kinda
103. Carnival of Monsters
104. Robot
105. The Time Monster
106. The Sun Makers
107. The Chase
108. The Three Doctors
109. The Myth Makers
110. The Curse of Peladon
111. A Town Called Mercy
112. The Time Meddler
113. Destiny of the Daleks
114. Planet of the Daleks
115. Thin Ice
116. The Long Game
117. Death to the Daleks
118. Terror of the Vervoids
119. The Time of Angels / Flesh and Stone
120. The Keeper of Traken
121. Battlefield
122. Day of the Daleks
123. The Sea Devils
124. The Pilot
125. Revenge of the Cybermen
126. The Highlanders
127. Mummy on the Orient Express
128. Knock Knock
129. The Androids of Tara
130. Colony In Space
131. Nightmare in Silver
132. Castrovalva
133. Kill the Moon
134. Mawdryn Undead
135. Resurrection of the Daleks
136. The Masque of Mandragora
137. The Caretaker
138. Time Crash
139. The Seeds of Death
140. The Wheel In Space
141. The Android Invasion
142. The Enemy of the World
143. Paradise Towers
144. Hell Bent
145. The Empress of Mars
146. The Mysterious Planet
147. The Lodger
148. The Unicorn and the Wasp
149. The End of the World
150. The Leisure Hive
151. The Savages
152. The Two Doctors
153. In the Forest of the Night
154. Vengeance On Varos
155. The Hungry Earth / Cold Blood
156. The Faceless Ones
157. The Sontaran Experiment
158. The Doctor’s Daughter
159. The Time of the Doctor
160. The Christmas Invasion
161. The Claws of Axos
162. The Unquiet Dead
163. The Krotons
164. The Next Doctor
165. Warriors of the Deep
166. The Sensorites
167. Arc of Infinity
168. The Power of Kroll
169. Extremis
170. Planet of Giants
171. The Planet of the Ood
172. The Time Warrior
173. The Smugglers
174. The Doctor’s Wife
175. Gridlock
176. Tooth and Claw
177. Love & Monsters
178. The Edge of Destruction
179. Army of Ghosts / Doomsday
180. Doctor Who (The TV Movie)
181. Four To Doomsday
182. Shada
183. Timelash
184. The Ultimate Foe
185. The Pandorica Opens / The Big Bang
186. The Curse of the Black Spot
187. The End of Time
188. The Web Planet
189. The Invasion of Time
190. The Horns of Nimon
191. The God Complex
192. The Pyramid at the End of the World
193. The Eleventh Hour
194. The Invisible Enemy
195. The Gunfighters
196. The Impossible Astronaut / Day of the Moon
197. Closing Time
198. The Lie of the Land
199. The Girl in the Fireplace
200. The Beast Below
201. The Zygon Invasion / The Zygon Inversion
202. Galaxy 4
203. The Return of Doctor Mysterio
204. The Space Pirates
205. The War Machines
206. The Ice Warriors
207. The Power of Three
208. The Magician’s Apprentice / The Witch’s Familiar
209. A Christmas Carol
210. Planet of Evil
211. The Fires of Pompeii
212. The Wedding of River Song
213. The Hand of Fear
214. Attack of the Cybermen
215. Nightmare of Eden
216. The Armageddon Factor
217. Smith and Jones
218. Partners in Crime
219. Twice Upon a Time
220. Snakedance
221. The Sound of Drums / The Last of the Time Lords
222. The Night of the Doctor
223. The Shakespeare Code
224. Hide
225. The Husbands of River Song
226. The Name of the Doctor
227. Rise of the Cybermen / The Age of Steel
228. Last Christmas
229. Time-Flight
230. The Bells of St John
231. The Vampires of Venice
232. Silence in the Library / Forest of the Dead
233. Journey to the Centre of the TARDIS
234. Deep Breath
235. The Underwater Menace
236. The Woman Who Lived
237. The Crimson Horror
238. The King’s Demons
239. Greatest Show In the Galaxy
240. Planet of the Dead
241. The Girl Who Died
242. Flatline
243. Terminus
244. Night Terrors
245. Victory of the Daleks
246. Black Orchid
247. Delta And the Bannermen
248. Meglos
249. The Awakening
250. Asylum of the Daleks
251. The Dominators
252. 42
253. Silver Nemesis
254. Mindwarp
255. Time And the Rani
256. Ghost Light
257. Revelation of the Daleks
258. The Angels Take Manhattan
259. The Runaway Bride
260. Fear Her
261. The Snowmen
262. The Rings of Akhaten
263. The Space Museum
264. The Mark of the Rani
265. New Earth
266. Daleks in Manhattan / Evolution of the Daleks
267. The Mutants
268. Aliens of London / World War Three
269. Boom Town
270. The Monster of Peladon
271. Sleep No More
272. Voyage of the Damned
273. The Girl Who Waited
274. Into the Dalek
275. The Rebel Flesh / The Almost People
276. The Doctor, the Widow and the Wardrobe
277. A Good Man Goes to War
278. The Creature from the Pit
279. Underworld
280. The Lazarus Experiment
281. The Twin Dilemma
282. Let’s Kill Hitler
283. Dark Water / Death in Heaven

 

 

 

 

 

My Oscar Picks for 2018

It’s that time of year where I do my Oscar-eve thoughts on who I want to win, and who I think will win, “Christmas for Movie Lovers”, aka The Academy Awards.

Following on from an incredibly strong set of nominees a year ago, 2018’s field includes another set of wonderful films. Hopefully my thoughts will encourage you to see some of them that you may have missed.

But to the nominees…

 

Best Picture

This year is perhaps the most even race for Best Picture in a long time; there are multiple really good films here, and none have really embedded themselves in the zeitgeist as a clear favourite. Mind you, Lala Land was the clear favourite last year, and lost (after a false start!) to the excellent Moonlight.

Note also that Best Picture is not decided by a straight vote, but a preferential one, so the winning movies needs to place well in the first ballot but also get a number of 2nd and 3rd preference votes.

My personal pick is Call Me By Your Name, which I think is everything an Oscar movie should be; a lovely story, beautifully shot, with amazing actors.

Whilst it has a chance to win (mostly because it will be on a lot of lists as a top 3 pick even when not first pick), you have to assume Guillermo del Toro’s The Shape of Water is the favourite. However, it is a very “strange” movie which includes a love scene between a woman and a fish creature, and so might not appeal to some of the older and more conservative members of the academy, and may find it’s either at the top of voters’ lists or the bottom, lacking the 2nd and 3rd votes to win in an evenly divided field.

Three Billboards Outside Epping, Missouri is another great film with a terrific cast that I’d be happy to see win, although the way it deals with its racist characters has resulted in a bit of a backlash amongst the sort of people that use the word “problematic” a lot in sentences. Sadly, lots of those sort of people vote in the academy.

I personally think that Lady Bird is a gorgeous and touching movie I love a lot, but I also don’t think its special or different enough to be worthy of the Oscar. What sets Lady Bird apart is very much the performances of three up-and-coming young actors and actresses who have all been Oscar nominations already in their careers: Lucas Hedges, Saoirse Ronan, and Timothée Chalamet. All of them talents to watch.

Dunkirk deserves awards for its production, but in my opinion lacks the depth of performances to make it an Oscar winner for Best Picture.

Darkest Hour has a chance, although I’m not a fan of its simplistic and broad strokes, and The Post is nice but nothing at all special.

Get Out would be a surprise choice, and The Phantom Thread a decisive one.

Image result for call me by your name

 

Best Director

Whilst I wouldn’t give The Shape of Water the Best Picture award, I’m happy to give Guillermo del Toro the Best Director award. His work here is amazingly good, and he draws out some excellent performances.

We may find that a lot of the academy do the same, giving him recognition as Director without voting for his movie.

Christopher Nolan is also in with a good chance here for Dunkirk.

Image result for the shape of water

 

Best Actor

Thomthée Chalamet as Eilo in Call Me By Your Name is easily my pick, for a heartbreaking performance. He almost certainly won’t win, though.

Gary Oldman seems to be the favourite for his role as Churchill in Darkest Hour, which I think owes more to the makeup than the performance. However, the academy have a habit of threating these as de facto “lifetime” awards, and this could be Oldman’s one.

Daniel Kaluuya as Chris in Get Out would be a wonderful surprise win.

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Best Actress

This is one category where I think my pick is also the favourite, and that’s Frances McDormand as Mildred in Three Billboards Outside Epping, Missouri. Her performance is gut wrenching but sympathetic, and really does hold the movie together.

Margot Robbie in I, Tonya could be the dark horse in this race.

Whilst Meryl Streep is again nominated, I think her turn as Katharine Graham in The Post is far from her best work, and indeed, she makes what I’d say are some interesting creative choices in her performance in this movie.

Image result for frances mcdormand three billboards

 

Best Supporting Actor

I’m fairly confident that someone from Three Billboards Outside Epping, Missouri will win this. This question is will it be Woody Harrelson as Chief Wiloughby, or Sam Rockwell as Officer Dixon.

My vote goes to Harrelson, but only just. Both are excellent performances, and for Rockwell arguably career defining.

Christopher Plummer was nominated for not being Kevin Spacey in All the Money in the World, but I can’t see him winning.

If the “Billboard” nominees split the vote, I can see a scenario where Willem Dafoe wins for The Florida Project.

Image result for woody harrelson three billboards outside ebbing missouri

 

Best Supporting Actress

The sublime Allison Janney is the unbackable favourite for her role as LaVona Golden in I, Tonya. And deservedly so.

I’d be equally happy with Laurie Metcalf won for Marion in Lady Bird.

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Best Original Screenplay

This is a hard one to pick.

Get Out is probably the most inventive, and so I think has a slight edge.

Whilst I love Lady Bird, it’s the performances that lift that more than the script.

Three Billboards Outside Epping, Missouri has a chance, subject of course to the backlash I mentioned above.

Image result for get out film

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Call Me By Your Name is my pick, and I think this is the one award the film will actually win tomorrow.

The Disaster Artist was a very fun film, but I can’t see the academy voting for it.

Likewise Logan isn’t really the sort of movie that gets picked for Oscars.

 

Of the other awards….

I haven’t seen any of the nominees for Best Animated Feature Film, but Coco is surely the clear favourite.

There’s a lot of buzz around for Icarus for Best Documentary.

Hans Zimmer is the favourite for Dunkirk for Best Soundtrack, and also my pick, although I wouldn’t rule out Alexandre Desplat’s work on The Shape of Water. John Williams also got a nomination for Star Wars: The Last Jedi.

Best Original Song will surely go to ‘This is Me’ from The Greatest Showman.

Best Sound Editing I’d love to see Baby Driver win, but Dunkirk is more likely, and the same goes for Best Sound Mixing.

Best Cinematography is a hard one this year. I’d personally go for the amazing work on Blade Runner 2049 (easily the best aspect of that film). Dunkirk has a very good chance, as indeed does The Shape of Water.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling will go to the time from Darkest Hour; lock that one in.

Almost as big a certainty is the team from Beauty and the Beast winning Best Costume Design.

Best Film Editing I again pick Baby Driver, in the full expectation it’ll be won on the night by Dunkirk, whilst Best Visual Effects I think should go to War for the Planet of the Apes.

The Oscars always pull a few surprises, and can sometimes make a point of sharing arounds around, something I think we’ll see this year.

But we’ll find out tomorrow!

Image result for moonlight oscars mistake

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tasmanian Election 2018

Tassie elections are fascinating, and hard to predict, as they not only use a Senate style Hare-Clark system with five members each elected in five electorates, but voters are required to cast ballots for individual candidates rather than tickets. Indeed, even on the ballot people the order of candidates on party lists is randomised, making voting according to party ticket harder.

Each individual candidate requires 16.7% of the vote to be elected, with surplus votes and preferences distributed until five are elected in each electorate. When assessing how many from each party will be elected, one thing I’m focusing on is where the preferences might come from to decide the final seat.

To win majority Government, a party requires 2 seats in 2 electorates and 3 in the other 3, given them thirteen in total.

All independent polling (and what we’ve seen of leaked internal polling) has the Liberals in front in the low-to-mid 40s, Labor in the low 30s, and the Greens at or below 10%.

The Jackie Lambie Network is contesting three electorates, but has seen its vote decline across the campaign and is unlikely to win any seats, especially if their vote is split between several local candidates in each electorate and there is a lack of ticketing discipline from JLN voters.

The Liberals have won only six elections in Tasmania since their creation, and only four of those have been majorities. Robin Gray is the only Liberal leader to win two majority terms; will that change today?

The Greens have held the balance of power three times in Tasmania, twice supporting the ALP, and once supporting a minority Liberal Government. Each of this period proved disastrous, and each saw the party which dealt with the Greens losing the next election, usually heavily.

This record has tended to see Tasmanian swing voters get behind the party most likely to form Government to ensure a strong majority government can be formed in preference to a Green controlled minority.  In 2018 this should assist the Liberals.

Both major parties have refused to work with the Greens.

The last time this happened the ALP broke their word, and formed a coalition with the Greens.

The time before that the Liberal Premier kept his word and resigned the leadership, allowing a new leader to form a minority Government with Green support.

Should there be a hung Parliament this time there is no certainty as to what would happen, however, with the Tasmanian Greens now more left than ever and already promising to move a no confidence motion against the Hodgeman Government in the new House of Assembly, it seems certain the Liberals can only win a second term if they win the thirteen seats required for a majority.

But to the seats….

 

Denison:

Covering Hobart proper, this is the Liberal’s weakest electorate and the Greens’ best (its represented by crazy Independent Andrew Wilkie Federally).

Present: 2 Liberal, 2 ALP, 1 Green

In 2014 the Liberals got a combined 38.3% of the vote, with the popular local member Matthew Groom (son of former Premier Ray Groom) receiving a strong personal vote.

Groom is not standing at this election, and likely any swing against the Liberals will be strongest here.

Labor is led in Denison by Scott Bacon (shadow Treasurer, and son of former Premier Jim Bacon) and both ALP incumbents are standing again.

The Green’s incumbent is their State leader, Cassy O’Connor (arguably the most lefty-trendy leader of the Tasmanian Greens to date, and that list includes Christine Milne and Nick McKim!). I suspect O’Connor’s style of Green politics will play badly in the rest of the State which embraced Bob Brown’s environmental activism but isn’t very “suburban trendy”, but it will ensure a strong Green vote here.

JLN isn’t contesting Denison.

If the Liberals can hold the swing against them to 5% they’ll win 2 seats without needing preferences. Just.

If they drop much below 33% though there is a slight danger that Greens’ preferences will elect a 3rd ALP MP, reducing the Liberals to 1. But if polling is correct this is unlikely; the Liberals won 2 Denison seats in 2010 after all.

Prediction: no change – 2 Liberals, 2 ALP, 1 Green

However, if on early counting the Liberals aren’t clearly winning the 2nd seat, that makes majority tough.

 

Bass

Launceston, and the north-east corner of Tasmania, AKA God’s Country.

Present: 3 Liberal, 1 ALP, 1 Green

All incumbents are running again.

JNL is contesting.

The Liberals got over 58% there last election, and even with a swing against them I think will hold their 3 seats.

I’m predicting the Greens lose their seat to the ALP.

Prediction: 3 Liberals, 2 ALP.

(If the Liberals aren’t getting the 3rd seat here, they’re not getting anything like a majority).

 

Braddon

Davenport, Burnie, King Island and the west coast.

At the last election there was a freak result with the Liberals winning 4 seats, and the ALP 1 (Bryan Green, who led Labor for a time in Opposition before being rolled and retiring from Parliament).

All 4 Liberals, and the replacement ALP member, are recontesting.

JLN is contesting and this is expected to be their best electorate. However, its unlikely to be enough to get a quota; even if their combined result gets the leading JLN candidate to 8-9%, I can’t see where they’d get preferences get to the necessary 16.7%.

Also contesting is the “Tasmanians 4 Tasmania” party, who don’t have a lot of policies and spelt “Tasmanians” wrong on their Facebook page.

Nevertheless even if the Liberal vote drops below 50% there should be plenty of preferences in the mix to get a 3rd Liberal elected.

However, the freak result will not be repeated and the Liberals will lose 1 seat, I expect to the ALP; I don’t see the Green vote being high enough to win a seat, but its not entirely impossible that they could be closer after preferences to a 1st quota than the ALP is to a 2nd and win with ALP preferences.

Prediction: 3 Liberals, 2 ALP.

(Again, if the Liberals aren’t getting the 3rd seat here, they’re not getting anything like a majority).

 

Franklin

The bits of the south that aren’t Hobart.

Present: 3 Liberal, 1 ALP, 1 Green

If the Liberals hold their two in Denison and win three in both Bass and Braddon, then they need a 3rd in either Franklin or Lyons to get their majority.

Early on I’d thought Lyons was the more likely of the two to deliver that (and still do), but polls suggest Franklin could be a better bet.

In 2014 all three party leaders were contesting Franklin. Only Will Hodgeman is still in Parliament four years later, with Lara Giddings and Nick McKim moving on.

Hodgeman’s personal vote will certainly help the Liberals here.

There are only four 4 parties contesting Franklin: the three majors, and the Shooters Farmers Fishers.

I’m confident that Liberals will easily get 2.

The ALP will easily get 1.

The Greens should hold their 1.

The 5th seat is hard to pick, and potentially election deciding.

With only 4 parties, the reality is that the combined vote of the Liberals and Shooters needs to be at 50% to get the Liberals that 3rd seat, unless there’s a lot of ALP voters putting Liberal candidates above the Greens (not impossible).

Prediction: 2 Liberals, 2 ALP, 1 Green.

The 5th seat here a key seat. If the Liberals win it, it will likely be on the back of personal votes for individual incumbants.

(As a side note, if the Greens do only win seats in Denison and Franklin, this will be a terrible result for them not only because they’ll only have two seats, but because they’ll be reduced to a metropolitan left party unable to win outside the city in their best State.)

 

Lyons

All the bits of Tasmania in the middle that aren’t in other seats.

Present: 3 Liberal, 2 Labor.

The three incumbent Liberals are running, and I think with JNL, Shooters and a couple of independents in the mix, there will be enough preferences to get a 3rd Liberal elected.

Opposition Leader and Jacinda Ardern wannabe Rebecca White is leading the ALP campaign here, and I think will ensure that two ALP members are elected, rather than a Green.

Prediction: 3 Liberals, 2 ALP

If the Liberals underperform, they could drop the 3rd seat here, and possibly Government with it.

 

Overall prediction:

Liberals: 13 (down 2)

ALP: 10 (up 3)

Greens: 2 (down 1)

 

A better performance in Franklin gives the Liberals a chance at a 14th seat.

A worse performance in Denison or Lyons would give the ALP and the Greens 13.

 

 

Oscar Nominations I want to see…

The Oscar nominations come out about midnight Australian time, which is always exciting.

In anticipation, here are some comments on nominations I’d like to see (and contrasted with what we’re more likely to see…).

 

Best Picture

There’s a decent overlap here between my personal picks and what’s likely to happen. Note that the Academy can nominate “up to 10” choices, with the aim of allowing greater diversity and also greater engagement with the wider audience (ie, actually including films people have seen!).

Call Me By Your Name is one that I very much want to get nominated, and I think will be.

Image result for call me by your name

Likewise Three Billboards Outside Epping, Missouri will be, in my view, a deserving nominee.

I’d also love to see Detroit in the mix, but doubt that I will be. There was some buzz around Detroit at the time it was released in the US, but that seems to have faded.

I think that The Disaster Artist deserves a nod, and might get it; hard to pick how the Oscars will judge this film.

Baby Driver and Dunkirk would be on my list.

Logan deserves to be; I wasn’t a massive fan, but it’s a very well made film and is exactly the sort of “main stream” movie that this category was expanded to include.

The Post likely will get a nod, but I don’t think it’s worthy.

Some of the other talked about nominees such as The Shape of Water and Lady Bird I haven’t seen yet, as they’re not out here.

 

 

Best Actor

I’m all about Timothêe Chalamet from Call Me By Your Name, and I think he’ll get a nomination.

I’d like to see Will Poulter get a nomination for Detroit, but seems to be no buzz around him.

Image result for will poulter detroit

James Franco for The Disaster Artist is a possible nomination, and one I would agree with.

I haven’t yet seen The Darkest Hour, but imagine Gary Oldman gets a nomination, and likely goes into the night as favourite.

Domhnall Gleeson in Goodbye Christopher Robin rounds out my five.

 

Best Actress

Frances McDormand for Three Billboards is the favourite, and I’m very ok with that.

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All the other favourites I’ve yet to see (Saoirse Ronan, Margot Robbie, Sally Hawkins), and don’t have any real outside the box picks for this category.

 

Best Director

My five:

Luca Guadagnino – Call Me Be Your Name

Patty Jenkins – Wonder Women

Francis Lee – Gods Own Country

Luc Besson – Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets

Kelly Fermon Craig – The Edge of Seventeen

I suspect the Academy’s list will be very different.

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Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri and Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird are both nominations I would expect, and Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water will go in as favourite.

Whatever the final list I think there should be a number of really good female directors being recognised this year.

 

Best Supporting Actor

I really hope Mark Hamill gets a nod for The Last Jedi! But he won’t.

Image result for mark hamill last jedi

Sam Rockwell and/or Woody Harrelson are likely to get nominations for Three Billboards, and I’m supportive of that.

John Boyega from Detroit is on my list, but not getting buzz.

Armie Hammer is getting some buzz for Call Me By Your Name, and I can take or leave that.

 

Best Supporting Actress

All the talk is about Allison Janney in I, Tonya which I haven’t yet seen, but hey, it’s Allison Janney!

Image result for allison janney i tonya

 

Best Cinematography

My list:

Baby Driver

God’s Own Country

Call me By Your Name

The Last Jedi

Detroit

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Bladerunner 2049 and Dunkirk are both likely nominations I would respect.

 

Others…

Of the other awards, the one’s I’m watching are Three Billboards getting Best Original Screenplay, and Call Me By Your Name getting Best Adapted Screenplay (although The Disaster Artist and Logan are both great choices for that as well).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2017 Movie Rankings

2017 has been a very good year for films. I’ve managed to see a personal record of 54 movies, and almost none of them are truly awful. Indeed, even half way down the list there’s some really good films well worth seeing.

Once again a number of the top 20 on my list are 2016 Oscar nominees that didn’t get an Australian release until this year, but there’s a number of other films as well.

 

  1. Manchester by the Sea

I adored this film.

I love the emotion of the story, I love the beauty of the New England setting, and I love the performances by Casey Affleck and Michelle Williams (who should have won the Best Supporting Actress Oscar!). Lucas Hedges is also a young actor to watch in the future.

Tells a very real story with passion, which is incredibly hard to do.

Loved the movie enough to visit the real town where it was shot in June this year. Lovely place, lovely film.

Image result for manchester by the sea

 

  1. Detroit

Powerful movie about the 1967 riots in that city. Brilliant performances from Will Poulter (a favourite of mine) and John Boyega. Utterly gripping, tense and thought-provoking across all of its 143 minutes, telling a character driven story in full detail, with great direction by Kathryn Bigelow.

Image result for detroit film

 

  1. Moonlight

The 2016 Best Picture Oscar winner (eventually!). Gorgeously shot, subtly acted. Superb. A different setting to what most movies do, and the use of three actors to play the lead over time pays off.

Mahershala Ali the very deserving winner of the Best Supporting Actor Oscar for his role here.

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  1. Call Me By Your Name

Probably the most beautiful film of 2017. Every shot of this is lovingly and meaningfully framed, using the northern Italian location perfectly. A lyrical script, and Timothée Chalamet is wonderful. If it was just a little tighter would have made the top 3.

Image result for call me by your name

 

  1. The Edge of Seventeen

Somehow writer and director Kelly Fremon Craig took a very standard coming of age film and made something really special, interesting and engaging. Everything about this film works in ways that it shouldn’t. Impressive.

Plus Woody Harrleson is cool.

Image result for the edge of seventeen 2017 film

 

  1. It

A surprise break out film of 2017, which tells Stephen King’s story really, really well. Amazingly talented young cast that make the horror story work, and uses the movie format to throw a couple of gut punches. Ontario makes a very convincing New England location!

Image result for it 2017 film

 

  1. The Zookeeper’s Wife

Characters and events set in the holocaust kept me on the edge of my seat for the duration, totally drawn into the story.

Image result for the zookeeper's wife 2017

 

  1. War for the Planet of the Apes

Great conclusion to a very enjoyable trilogy of films. Uses the story of the exodus to good effect, but is an exciting adventure movie that also packs some impact.

Image result for war for the planet of the apes

 

  1. Disaster Artist

It’s hilarious, with a heart. Dave and James Franco are wonderful, as are all the cameos in the movie. The recreations of The Room are incredible in their detail, but the whole thing is done with love and insight.

Oh, hi Mark!

Image result for disaster artist

 

  1. God’s Own Country

A love story set in the Yorkshire winter, which makes the look different, interesting, and enjoyable to watch. Unusually believable lead characters for a tale like this. Simple, but elegant.

Image result for gods own country 2017

 

  1. Goodbye Christopher Robin

Much of this film’s success rests with Domhnall Gleeson’s performance, but its also very well directed, making good use of the English summer. Could have been a saccharine and middling film were it not for the brutal honesty of the story. Good performance by Alex Lawther also pulls the final act of the film together.

Image result for goodbye christopher robin alex lawther gleeson

 

  1. Hidden Figures

A feel good film, well made, and very well acted. Is a little too self-aware for my taste and hence doesn’t make the top 10, but still an excellent film.

 

  1. Patriots Day

A Boston setting always gets point for me, but this is a very well made action-thriller that sucked me in, even if I knew the ending from the start. Totally absorbing, and a heartfelt ending at Fenway Park.

Mark Wahlberg’s best performance for years.

 

  1. Fences

Fences is an excellent play. And Denzel Washington and Viola Davis give some of their best performances in it.

But it never escapes from its origins as a play, to embrace the filmic possibilities. As such, is a worthy top 20 film, but not top 10.

 

  1. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets

Stunning. Beautiful. Inventive. A treat for a film goers to watch.

This film uses cinematography to enhance an already imaginative sci-fi story, and creates something that’s mostly lacking from the “safe” films made these days.

Dane DeHann is another of my favourite up-and-coming actors and is once again excellent in this.

Image result for valerian dane dehaan

 

  1. Thor: Ragnarok

I’m not a comic book fan, so look for comic book films to be good movies in their own right, and also accessible. Thor 3 delivers in spades! Most of all, it is a FUN movie – something a few of the Marvel films have forgotten to be of late. This film balances humour, excitement and action perfectly. Hemsworth gives perhaps his best performance yet, and Jeff Goldblum plays himself well.

Shallow, but enjoyable.

Taika Waititi a director to watch.

 

  1. Spiderman: Homecoming

Another enjoyable comic book movie, this one being held together by Tom Holland and Michael Keaton. Avoiding doing another tedious origin story is a big plus, as the film gets on with telling a good story. Would have been higher up the order if not for the intrusion of the rest of the Marvel universe into it.

 

  1. Baby Driver

Edgar Wright directs Ansel Elgort, and the result is visual poetry.

The story is utter nonsense, but that doesn’t matter… just watch it and enjoy what you’re seeing and hearing!

Related image

 

  1. Kingsman: Golden Circle

This sequel could never capture the surprise freshness of the first one, but is still a great film. Is smart enough to move the story on rather than just trying to live on the legacy of The Secret Service, and is the better for it.

Very well filmed action, as you’d expect.

Taron Egerton has made his mark as a capable actor, and it’ll be interesting to see where he takes his career from here.

Image result for Taron Egerton golden circle

 

  1. Star Wars VIII: The Last Jedi

Perhaps the best Star Wars movie since The Empire Strikes Back. Certainly flawed, but a very enjoyable cinema experience.

The film belongs to Mark Hamill and Adam Driver.

 

  1. Dunkirk

There’s no doubt that Dunkirk is impressively shot, and combined with the non-linear nature of the story it all makes for an interesting cinema experience. However, none of the characters are really developed, meaning the film lacks accessibility. Just misses out on the top 20.

 

  1. Greatest Showman

Its Hugh and Zac singing and dancing with a lot of visual excitement on screen. Lots of fun…. But really don’t think about the story too closely.

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  1. Lion

Good ideas and some decent performances (notably Dev Patel, who’s always reliable) combine with nice location work to make for a good film. However, its all a little too ponderous to really be a great film, in my book.

 

  1. Wonder Woman

The first good DC film in years! A great adventure film, well directed, but lacking the sparkle of the comic book movies I’ve ranked above it.

Patty Jenkins really does deserve the credit she’s getting for her direction, though.

 

  1. Logan

The story is depressing, and the middle act is tedious. However, the performances of the Jackman and Stewart are stalwart, and the final third is glorious! A real mixed bag here, but at least its trying to do something a little different.

 

  1. Murder on the Orient Express

The highlight here is the cinematography, with beautiful shots throughout. Branagh brings Poirot to live complete with flaws and foibles, making for a better movie. Enjoyable.

 

  1. The Pass

Russell Tovey in what is almost a one man play. The premise and performances are exceptional, but in the end it just doesn’t seem to know what to do with it all, and the second half meanders a bit. A shame, as it could have been utterly brilliant.

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  1. Passengers

Another sci-fi, doing something a bit different.

There’s nothing really outstanding about this movie, but there’s nothing terrible either. The plot has a few twists, and there’s plenty of moral ambiguity. A good, solid film.

 

  1. Jasper Jones

An Australian piece that tells a really nice story, with direction that uses the Australian background well without being obsessive about it (a rare achievement in Australian cinema, sadly). Script probably needed another draft to tighten some of the plot threads up for this to be really great, but its very pleasant.

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  1. Battle of the Sexes

Fun, but could have been more. I have a feeling that this film softened some of its edges in order to be a more mainstream release, and is the weaker for it.

Enjoyable, certainly; but sadly forgettable as well.

 

  1. The Space Between Us

Asa Butterfield makes this bizarre premise work, just. Another one where the first half is far superior to the second half. But I enjoyed it.

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  1. Life

Its what a modern Alien film wants to be. Does exactly what it says on the tin and does it well, but very obvious and slightly disposable. A fire and forget sci-fi.

 

  1. Denial

Lovely little story about Holocaust Denial, with some good performances, but nothing really special or interesting to lift it into the top half.

 

  1. Bladerunner 2049

This is probably the most visually stunning of all the films I saw this year. But its needlessly ponderous, has nothing much to say, and Harrison Ford doesn’t arrive until nearly two hours in!

 

  1. Beauty and the Beast

Its fine, but a total waste of the opportunity. Utterly superficial and derivative.

 

  1. Viceroy’s House

Another period piece that I certainly enjoyed, but fails to really rise above the material and make something special. Yet to work out the big deal about Hugh Bonneville.

 

  1. Miss Sloan

Like a lot of movies I’ve ranked in the 30s, this was an enjoyable watch, and had some interesting ideas, but was also very straight forward. Not a bad movie by any means… just not a great movie either. Perfectly decent political drama.

 

  1. American Assassin

Dylan O’Brien makes a good action lead, mostly because of his perfect comic timing and adorable vulnerability. He carries a good and fun action adventure that I enjoyed more than I expected, although it really does get a bit silly in the final half hour.

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  1. A Dog’s Purpose

Dennis Quaid and KJ Apa lead a lovely movie that tells some nice stories, and had a bit more depth that I thought it would. But its all trying a little TOO hard to grab at the heartstrings, plus its rather hard to really enjoy a film that kills a dog four times in two hours!

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  1. Dance Academy

Takes the successful Australian kids show and wraps it up nicely.

 

  1. Kong: Skull Island

That a movie like Kong has been pushed into the 40s shows how deep the list is batting this year. A good cast has some fun with the Kong concept, and there’s some nice subversions of expectation, as well as thoughtful direction of Kong and the action. Compromised a bit by the need to shoehorn unwanted “monster universe” set up into it.

 

  1. Power Rangers

Never watched the series properly, but this was a fun enough adaption as far as I could tell. Mixes action with teen angst effectively, but lets not pretend there’s any depth to it. I imagine would mean more to fans of the show.

 

  1. Speech and Debate

Starring two actors on my watch list at the very start of their careers – Liam James and Austin P. McKenzie – I really wanted to like this coming of age movie. A lot of it is good, however, some of it just requires too much suspension of disbelief for it to really work as a touching story about high school kids.

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  1. Baywatch

Look, this was a lot of fun to watch, but let’s not pretend it’s a great movie!

 

  1. Jackie

Given the source material available here, this was a shockingly dull movie. Natalie Portman is so busy making her performance as Jackie Kennedy perfect, she seems to forget to let the audience in. Should have been more.

 

  1. Justice League

This was a mess. Forced humour, nonsense plotting, and all rather pointless. Ezra Miller as the Flash good as always, but his dialogue is terrible. Affleck doesn’t want to be there, and Superman barely is there. Wonder women can’t save this studio created monster.

 

  1. Paddington 2

My 4 year old niece loved it! And if I was ranking children’s films as children’s films, it’d be right up there. Hugh Grant enjoying himself makes up for a lot of plot clichés.

 

  1. Churchill

Utterly boring and lacking any real insight. Just because your movie has Churchill in it doesn’t mean you don’t have to try. The direction wants to be clever, but is just obvious.

 

  1. 47 Metres down

I love a good shark movie and the sharks were cool. The rest of the plot is terrible, but who cares… cool sharks!

 

  1. Victoria & Abdul

Not as clever as it thinks it is, not as funny as it clearly thinks it is, and with a very cynical spin on history that leaves a bad taste.

 

  1. Alien: Covenant

All together there’s maybe 10 minutes of REALLY GOOD stuff in this film. Shame about the rest.

 

  1. Rules Don’t Apply

This is very much an indulgence piece for Warren Beatty, and it simply doesn’t work. Dull direction, and too much focus on procedural parts of the plot rather than character. Alden Ehrenreich struggles here, which is a concern given he’s the new Han Solo.

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  1. I Am Michael

James Franco, Zachary Quinto and Charlie Carver – this should have been great. But the plot is so nasty and the characters so forced that I struggled to get through it.

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  1. Batman Lego Movie

Why did I see this movie? The only good thing about it is that is wasn’t as awful as the first Lego movie. Oh, and the reference to King Tut. I won’t make the Lego mistake again.

 

 

Favourite 21 Musicals!

 

As promised to a few people, I’m going to do a daily countdown of my favourite 21 musicals…. as I post each new entry to Facebook, I’ll update this list…

14. Les Miserables

First performed in 1980, music by Claude-Michel Schönberg and original French-language lyrics by Alain Boublil and Jean-Marc Natel, alongside an English-language libretto with accompanying English-language lyrics by Herbert Kretzmer.A

At its best it has some great songs and some great set pieces, and very deserving of a slot in the top 15. However, I do think it struggles under the weight of trying to cover the whole Les Miserables omnibus.

Saw it live in Melbourne in 2014, followed by drinks with the cast afterwards (thanks to a certain Arts Minister!)

 

15. Avenue Q
 
First performed in 2003 written by by Robert Lopez and Jeff Marx.
 
In turns hilarious and poignant, with some great songs that also range from funny to touching.
 
Saw it live in the West End in 2010, and again in Melbourne in 2016.
 

16. The Pirates of Penzance.

First performed in 1879 with music by Sir Arthur Sullivan and words by W. S. Gilbert.

Another obvious one, but very worthy. Cleverer and more polished than Pinafore, and hangs together better and more enjoyable (overall) than Mikado. Memorable songs and characters.

Saw it live in Melbourne starring Jon English, about 1990.

17. Hairspray
First performed in 2002 based on a movie from 1998, with music by Marc Shaiman, lyrics by Scott Wittman and Shaiman.
Its all a little obvious, but its a lot of fun, with some memorable tunes and that wonderful, mythical 1960s setting.
Saw it live in Melbourne about 8 years back.
18. The Sound of Music.
First performed in 1959, with music by Richard Rodgers, lyrics by Oscar Hammerstein.
Probably the second musical I saw (the movie version), its a little long and a little contrived, but the story and songs are deeply memorable.
Not one I’ve seen live.

 

19. Phantom of the Opera.

First performed in 1986, with music by Andrew Lloyd Webber and lyrics by Charles Hart
Certainly an iconic show, with great visuals and some huge songs… although it is very weak in the second act.
Saw the Melbourne revival of this, around about 1998.

 

20. Grease

First performed in 1971, Jim Jacobs and Warren Casey.

Another of those fun musicals that’s full of songs you can sing along to!

Not seen a professional production of Grease, but seen a couple of great school performances.

 

 

21. Promises, Promises.

First performed in 1968, music by Burt Bacharach, lyrics by Hal David, and book by Neil Simon.

A really fun, funny and sweet story with some lovely songs.

I saw a revival of this on Broadway in 2010, starting Kristin Chenoweth and Sean Hayes.

Top 100 Movies

I recently calculated that I’ve seen around 700 movies at the cinema in the last twenty years.

That of course doesn’t count all the films I’ve seen on TV, VHS, DVD etc, and the ones I saw before that.

About six years ago I compiled a list ranking my top 50 favourite movies. Just under four years ago I then did a revision of the list.

Given how many great movies I’ve seen since writing that list, and how my views have changed over the time, I thought it was well and truly time to do another update!

However, I quickly realised there were at least twenty new films I wanted to add, and a lot of other favourites I thought worthy of a mention.

So, I’ve expanded the list to Top 100!

These are my own personal choices; nothing more, nothing less.

I’ve also included in brackets the place the movie had previously on the list. There’s not a lot of change in the Top 10 – although a couple of new films have broken in there. But below that some films have dropped down the list… in most cases to make room for new films, in other cases because I feel less strongly about them as time as passed.

However, some films have held their position even against new entries, and others have actually moved up the list as I’ve come to regard them more highly with repeated viewings.

And a lot of old favourites finally get a mention!

Quite a number of actors get multiple films included. Some famous names, some less favourites… Alan Rickman, Matt Damon, Robin Williams, Dane DeHann, Ezra Miller, River Phoenix, Tom Hanks, Thomas Sangster, Joseph Gordon Levitt, Denzel Washington, Leonardo DiCaprio, Emile Hirsch, Jesse Eisenberg, Daniel Radcliffe… and many more!

Please have a read, and see how the list compares to your favourites!

The list….

1. Empire of the Sun (1)

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2. Good Will Hunting (2)

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3. American Pie (3)

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4. Cruel Intentions (4)

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5. A Few Good Men (5)

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6. The Perks of Being a Wallflower (6)

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7. Sing Street (New)

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8. Sommersturm (7)

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9. Brooklyn (New)

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10. Dogma (9)

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11. The Talented Mr Ripley (10)

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12. Jurassic Park (16)

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13. The Social Network (13)

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14. Star Trek VI: The Undiscovered Country (21)

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15. The Big Short (New)

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16. Pleasantville (14)

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17. Boyhood (New)

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18. Chronicle (11)

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19. We Need To Talk About Kevin (8)

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20. Star Wars Episode V: The Empire Strikes Back (22)

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21. Edge of Seventeen (15)

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22. The Basketball Diaries (19)

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23. Neverending Story (New)

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24. The Place Beyond the Pines (New)

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25. Manchester by the Sea (New)

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26. Galaxy Quest (23)

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27. Dead Poet’s Society (New)

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28. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (New)

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29. My Own Private Idaho (20)

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30. The Muppet Movie (24)

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31. Milk (32)

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32. Jaws (25)

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33. Love, Actually (26)

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34. Paul (New)

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35. The American President (27)

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36. (500) Days of Summer (36)

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37. Inside Out (New)

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38. Primary Colors (29)

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39. The Way, Way Back (New)

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40. Nowhere Boy (New)

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41. Up In The Air (35)

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42. Crimson Tide (42)

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43. Catch Me If You Can (New)

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44. Argo (New)

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45. Stand By Me (43)

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46. What Dreams May Come (17)

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47. Chariots of Fire (31)

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48. Help! (28)

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49. Saving Mr Banks (New)

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50. Philadelphia (47)

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51. Pride (New)

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52. Downfall (37)

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53. Evita (33)

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54. The Great Dictator (34)

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55. Conspiracy (40)

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56. Star Wars Episode VI: Return of the Jedi (41)

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57. The Rock (New)

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58. Love and Mercy (New)

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59. The Martian (New)

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60. Silence of the Lambs (44)

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61. Kingsmen (New)

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62. Juno (39)

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63. Holding the Man (New)

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64. Paper Towns (New)

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65. Beaches (46)

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66. Men, Women and Children (New)

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67. The Emperor’s Club (38)

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68. Signs (New)

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69. Harry Potter and the Philosopher’s Stone (New)

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70. The Lion King (48)

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71. Star Trek II: The Wrath of Khan (New)

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72. Kill Your Darlings (New)

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73. Running on Empty (49)

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74. Clerks (New)

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75. Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens (New)

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76. Into the Wild (50)

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77. The Blues Brothers (New)

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78. In The Loop (45)

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79. Star Wars: Rogue 1 (New)

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80. How I Live Now (New)

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81. Prayers for Bobby (30)

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82. Ender’s Game (New)

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83. Batman (New)

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84. Star Trek IV: The Voyage Home (New)

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85. The History Boys (New)

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86. Invictus (New)

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87. Deep Blue Sea (New)

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88. Money Ball (New)

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89. Remember the Titans (New)

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90. Full Metal Jacket (New)

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91. Nixon (New)

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92. The Deal (New)

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93. Serenity (New)

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94. King Kong (New)

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95. Starship Troopers (New)

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96. The Queen (New)

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97. Truman (New)

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98. Mysterious Skin (New)

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99. Lord of the Flies (New)

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100. Dr Who and the Daleks

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2016 Movie Rankings

2016 is the year I cracked 50 films for the first time, and the Top 10 is especially strong. Not only that, but the quality of the movies continues very deep into the list, making this the best year for cinema in quite a while in my book.

 

1. Sing Street

A lesser known Irish film from 2016, but a delightful tale of a young man in 1980s Dublin who forms a band to impress a girl. Its an original script in an era where such things are rare, and includes excellent music and a great cast. Not the biggest movie of 2016, but the one I’m most fond of. The release of the soundtrack on vinyl was a nice touch.

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2. Brooklyn

Another film with an Irish connection, this was my pick for Best Picture Oscar (but I haven’t agreed with the Best Picture winner since 1997, so clearly Brooklyn wasn’t going to win!).

The film stars Saorise Ronan, Emory Cohen, Domhnall Gleeson and Julie Walters, and shifts between 1950s New York and Ireland. The characters and story are truly engaging and delightful.

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3. The Big Short

The movie which tells the story of the Global Financial Crisis whilst being interesting, information, funny and gripping, but which also avoids being preachy. Another strong cast that includes Steve Carell, Ryan Gosling, Christian Bale, and Brad Pitt, each of whom you feel is enjoying the chance to play against type.

 

4. Room

Another from the strong list of Best Picture Oscar nominees this year, Room is part thriller and part family drama, and works equally well doing both. Brie Larson deservedly won the Oscar for her role, but it’s the young Jacob Tremblay’s amazing performance which makes this film work.

 

5. Spotlight

The actual Best Picture Oscar winner, there’s no doubt that this film has strong performances by Mark Ruffalo, Michael Keaton and Rachel McAdams. It also tells an important story, and does that very well, however in my view drops to 5th because the script is constrained by the somewhat undramatic reality of the story.

 

6. Star Trek Beyond

The first sci-fi film and the first blockbuster on the list. An excellent adventure film in its own right, but in my opinion certainly the best Star Trek movie of the re-booted franchise (and the first to really feel like a Star Trek film), and arguably the best since Star Trek VI in 1991. Its also the first of the movies to really give the whole cast something to do, and show’s the excellent cast to best effect.

 

7. Arrival

Another sci-fi movie, Arrival is perhaps the most realistic depiction of a first contact scenario we’ve seen in a very long time. There’s a Carl Sagan feel to the narrative, in a very thought provoking and clever film, with cool and original looking aliens.

 

8. War Dogs

What would be a pretty good and funny movie becomes and excellent movie due to the performances of Miles Teller and Jonah Hill. Effortlessly shifts between tension and gags, making for a very easy watch.

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9. Sully

A movie that completely drags you into the story, with the usual excellent performance from Tom Hanks. Uses narrative structure very well to maintain the audience interest.

 

10. Zootopia

Its rare I have animations in the top 10, but it would have been unfair to leave Zootopia out, as its an incredibly enjoyable film. Jason Bateman’s voice work is especially worthy of note.

 

11. Deadpool

Deadpool is too shallow a movie to make the top 10, but its shockingly entertaining and makes for a great couple of hours in the cinema.

The one big concern is that just as the Nolan Batman films condemned us to several years of films trying to copy the Nolan tone even when the story didn’t need it, we’ll now get a spate of films desperately trying to “do a Deadpool”.

 

12. A United Kingdom

In part a love story, in part the story of the fall of the British Empire in Bechuanaland (Botswana). The story flows well, and the location filming is beautiful. The lead performances of David Oyelowo and Rosamund Pike should receive Oscar nominations in the new year, but the secondary cast of Jack Davenport, Tom Felton and Nicholas Lyndhurst also make this film thoroughly engaging.

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13. Rogue 1

Rogue 1 lacks the strong structure and performances of The Force Awakens, but makes up for it by giving Star Wars fans everything they could want in a prequel to 1977’s Star Wars. Incredibly enjoyable, visually stunning. But I suspect in time it will look shallow compared to its saga cousins.

 

14. Sausage Party

An absolutely hilarious movie that doesn’t pull any of its punches in the name of comedy, and also squeezes in a bit of a message. Misses my top 10 because it goes completely off the rails in the final act. Nice to have Michael Cera back, if only has a voice.

 

15. La La Land

Sumptuous is the word to describe La La Land. Sumptuous filming. Sumptuous costumes. Sumptuous story. And Sumptuous performances from Ryan Gosling and Emma Stone. Sometimes a little strange, sometimes a little forced, but one to just throw yourself into and enjoy.

 

16. Captain Fantastic

Viggo Mortensen stars in this strange film about a couple that choose to drop out of society, and raise their family in the wilderness of Washington State, and now confronting the realities of that decision. Brilliantly directed, and with a stronger than usual child cast led by George MacKay, this film is thought provoking, and gains points for making the main character a less than perfect or sympathetic one. Not always an easy watch though, and stretches credulity a little too far in the final act as the story searches for an ending.

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17. Hail, Ceaser!

Stupid, but fun.

 

18. Indignation

One of the films I was most looking forward to in 2016, Indignation features rising star Logan Lerman as a Jewish student at a 1950s college in a film about faith and sexual awakening. There’s much that’s good about this movie, and Lerman gives another wonderful performance, but the whole thing is taking itself far too seriously to be really enjoyed.

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19. The Revenant

This film won the Oscar for cinematography, which was absolutely deserved. Filmed around the Montana and Alberta regions, the scenery is absolutely gorgeous, and captured to stunning effect by the director and crew.

DiCaprio also won the Oscar, but I have to feel as though this was an award for his career more than this specific movie. The supporting actors Tom Hardy, Domhnall Gleeson (now with three films in my top 20!) and Will Poulter arguably add more to the film.

The story is perfunctory at best… just sit back and enjoy the visuals.

 

20. X-Men: Apocalypse

In what was really a disappointing year for the superhero/comic book genre (the outside the box Deadpool aside), I personally enjoyed X-Men Apocalypse, which told a good action adventure story.

 

21. The Founder

The story of the founding of the McDonalds chain, this is very much a vehicle for Michael Keaton, and he does a lot with the role. The film wisely doesn’t pass judgement on Keaton’s Ray Kroc character, allowing the audience to see various sides of him. But there’s a certain inevitability about the whole story that is interesting, but dramatically unfulfilling. BJ Novak underused in his supporting role.

 

22. My Scientology Movie

The only documentary on the list this year, this is an entertaining look at the Church of Scientology which uses some interesting techniques, and left me better informed, whilst being reasonably fun to watch. However, I couldn’t help but feel at the end that writer and host Louis Theroux could have gone much deeper into the subject matter.

 

23. The Danish Girl

Eddie Redmayne gives a performance that should have won him his second Oscar, whilst Alicia Vikander also performs in a way that won her the Best Supporting Actress Oscar, and Ben Whishaw is excellent.

Beyond that the story struggles, being at times emotionally distant, or tonally adrift. But worth it for the performances.

 

24. Departure

A low budget film made in rural France, and starring another up and coming UK actor Alex Lawther. It’s a coming of age film that tells a simple story and tells it well, making good use of the French location to make it seem different in a crowded genre. Nothing special, just nice.

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25. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them.

Coming right in the middle of this top 50, Fantastic Beasts has proven a difficult film to judge. There’s nothing bad about it, and indeed there’s a lot of good about it – performances from Eddie Redmayne and Ezra Miller, along with the creation of an American Wizarding world that is a part of the Harry Potter universe but stands on its own.

But there’s nothing really outstanding about the film either, and the whole thing feels a little self-conscious.

 

26. Captain America: Civil War

Not a miss from the Marvel world, but not a hit either. Yes, the airport scene is probably the best scene in any comic book movie yet, but the lead-up to that was very dull, and rather obvious. The second half isn’t too bad, but lacks the fun of a good Marvel movie.

 

27. David Brent: Life on the Road

If you like Ricky Gervais’ work, there’s a lot to enjoy in this movie, as David Brent tries to get his musical career going again. Gervais actually makes the story work in a reasonably believable manner, and there’s a lot of laughs – especially in the office scenes in the early parts of the film.

 

28. Finding Dory

It’s a nice film. Its nice to see these characters again, and you won’t have a bad time watching it. But it does lack some of the originality of Finding Nemo, and the “plot device Octopus” becomes rather annoying by the end.

 

29. Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice

The movie continues to prove my theory that there’s no such thing as a good Superman movie. However, there were some great Batman scenes, and I really liked Jesse Eisenberg as the villain. Overall a number of good set pieces, that didn’t quite hang together.

 

30. Now You See Me 2

A fun but forgettable sequel. With Daniel Radcliffe.

 

31. Eddie The Eagle

It was good to see Taron Edgerton show his acting abilities in a role completely different to his lead in Kingsmen, and as a feel good movie this piece more or less works. The director films the ski jumps very effectively.

 

32. The Jungle Book

Its very well made, but I can’t help but wonder what the point of the remake was?

 

33. The Boy

A reasonable horror film, with a reasonable twist.

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34. Deepwater Horizon

The first half is full of considerable amounts of phenomenally unsubtle foreshadowing, but the second half is a visual spectacle, with a point. Nice to see Dylan O’Brien turn up.

 

35. Me Him Her

Max Landis makes interesting movies, and this is interesting, though not an especially original take on the premise of an LA actor coming out of the closet. Highlight is Scott Bakula and Geena Davis as the parents.

 

36. The Shallows

It’s a cool movie with a shark. And I’m ok with that.

 

37. Suffragette

The importance of the subject matter, and the inspiration of the characters, helps keep this movie afloat, however in the end it is rather flat.

 

38. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

The direction is stunning, and Joe Alwyn performs well in the lead. A worthy story, but one that struggles to fill the two hour run time.

 

39. Independence Day: Resurgence

One of the films I was most looking forward to this year, but lets face it, it wasn’t very good. The second ending was both needless and silly, and the whole subplot with the old guy and the kids on the bus was stupid.

Could have worked better if they’d given the new characters more room to breathe and tell a fresh movie.

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40. Allied

The pacing on this movie is its biggest problem, as it changes up and down gears at various strange times. Not helped that neither main character is very sympathetic, and the twists are spotted a mile off.

Still not a bad movie, though. Just… obvious.

 

41. Snowden

Joseph Gordon-Levitt does well, as you’d expect. But this movie totally fails to really get inside Snowdon’s motivation, or make any sort of a point. Could have done a lot more with the material and lead actor.

 

42. Allegiant

I quite like a good YA dystopian film, but this installment of the Divergent franchise spends a lot of time spinning its wheels, and doesn’t do justice to a cast that includes Miles Teller and Ansel Elgort. Sadly, this poor third movie has meant the series finale is now in limbo, meaning we may not get an end to a series which started quite well.

 

43. Paterson

As a chance for Adam Driver to show of his acting chops in between Star Wars saga films, this indie movie works well, and there’s some nice ideas and filming in the New Jersey locations. However, it is VERY slow, and probably twice the length it needs to be.

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44. Dad’s Army

Some nice references to the original series, and a cast clearly delighted to be playing the roles, but the script is terrible.

 

45. Risen

An interesting take on the post-crucifixion story of “Yeshua”, told from a Roman perspective. Never really engaging though, although Tom Felton puts in a solid performance.

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46. Suicide Squad

What was the point of this movie? Who are these characters? The movie didn’t bother answering these questions, and delivered a stupid plot with a really stupid ending.

 

47. Spin Out

Xavier Samuel does well in the lead role of this Australian film, but sadly the film is a collection of the usual Australian movie sins – over the top direction, characters that are meant to be lovable but are just bogans, and generally being dull.

Image result for xavier samuel spin out

48. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates

Reasonably harmless fun, but utterly unoriginal and instantly forgettable. Zac Efron even seems to realise it half way through and gives up.

 

49. Love and Friendship

Meant to be twee, but utterly terrible. Xavier Samuel’s second flop of the year.

 

50. Inferno

Stupid.

 

2016 US Election Predictions

Well, I’ve been putting this off for a while, but time for my comments and predictions on the US elections happening tomorrow (Australian time).

America

First, a general comment on the state of politics in America.

I’ve visited America four times in the last six years (and heading back there again in May-June next year), and travelled to 23 states plus DC. I’ve stayed in some of the big cities, but also a lot of small towns a long way from anywhere, mostly travelling by road through many of these larger states.

dk-us-states-ive-visited

What I’ve found is a unique sense that the country has real problems with their economy and their society, and no one believes anyone has a clue how to fix it. Most people haven’t had a pay rise in years, have seen their employment become less secure, and their services become worse. So it’s understandable that there’s a hankering for the imagined America of ‘Happy Days’, with high employment, nice haircuts, and everything seeming nice and simple.

At the same time, in my lifetime there have been six Presidents. Go back another ten years and there have been eight.

Many of those eight – perhaps all of them – have been good men. Certainly many were well qualified, others highly intelligent. Yet of those eight, I’d contend that only one – Ronald Reagan – had a truly successful Presidency.

Nixon started well with strong results in economic and foreign affairs, but ended in resignation. Ford failed to be elected in his own right. Carter struggled on almost every policy front, as well as struggling to provide strong leadership, and lost his re-election bid in a landslide (although his legacy of the Carter Doctrine and Camp David Accords is worthy of note).

Reagan won the cold war, got America out of its prolonged economic and foreign policy slump, and inspired the nation that it really was “morning again in America”. Politically he won two terms in landslides (winning 49 of the 50 states on his re-election in 1984), and got his Vice President elected to succeed him (the first time this had happened since Andrew Jackson’s Vice President Martin Van Buren won in 1836).

Bush Snr was a highly qualified, experienced and honourable man with a strong foreign policy record, but who failed on the domestic policy front and lost re-election. Bill Clinton deserves some credit for balancing the budget, and undertaking serious welfare reform. However, his foreign and military policies were lamentable, and his whole Presidency was continually dogged by scandal, and his eventually impeachment over the Lewinsky affair. Notably, unlike Reagan, Clinton couldn’t get his Vice President – Al Gore – elected.

I could go on. I could go backwards to Johnson and Kennedy. But I won’t.

The point is that there’s a strong argument that the Presidency simply isn’t working, and is a 1780s constitutional system trying to work in a 21st century world.

I don’t think it’s a coincidence that after the GFC, it was the strong single member Parliamentary democracies – Australia, the UK, Canada – that emerged quickly, along with New Zealand. Proportional Parliamentary systems such as in Germany and Ireland (and New Zealand, who I’ve already mentioned) were not far behind.

Each of these systems has the executive, led by the Prime Minister/Chancellor/Taoiseach, assume power because they have the confidence of (and generally control of) the legislature.

My point is that Prime Ministers that lead a Parliament can get things done.

In contrast, systems with executive Presidents separate from the Legislature have struggled in a fast moving world.

The President of the United States can do nothing more than suggest a budget to Congress, a body that often struggles to agree between its two Houses, let alone with the President. The same goes for any other piece of legislation.

At the same time, in the US Senate you need 60 of the 100 votes to break a filibuster and have any realistic chance of getting contentious Bills passed.

The judicial system is highly politicised, with appointments to the senior courts (and indeed the senior public service) often blocked in the Senate for months.

The House of Representatives serve for only two years, so are on nearly constant campaign cycles, needing to continuously raise money for an election just around the corner (a contrast to the five year terms of the UK, or four year terms in Canada).

At the same time, House seat boundaries are decided by the local State Legislatures, often resulting in massive gerrymandering (imagine Daniel Andrews in charge of deciding the boundaries for Victoria’s Federal seats…!). As a result, very few House seats are truly competitive between the parties, so members are more concerned with winning their local primary by appealing to the hard right/left of their party, than appealing to the centre at the general election.

All of this is a long way of saying that it’s my view that the US system is not fit for purpose in 2016, can’t fix the problems, and this leads to extraordinary feelings of discontent in the population, who hanker for a romanticised golden age.

 

Anyway, my predictions…

 

President:

Bottom line, I think Mrs Clinton will win.

I’m basing this on a combination of national polls, state poll averages, state poll trends in the last few days, and also considering the demographics and ground games of the two candidates.

Either candidate requires 270 Electoral College votes to become the President-elect. This is how I think the day will go… (and what to watch for).

us-dk-president

First states close at 11am Melbourne time.

Several should be called for both candidates quite quickly (certainly Kentucky will be called for Trump).

If there’s a close race in Georgia, or even Indiana or South Carolina, then it’s likely going to be a good night for the Democrats (Indiana was won by Obama in 2008, but Romney in 2012. Republic Vice Presidential nominee Mike Pence is the outgoing Governor there).

Of this batch I have New Hampshire going for Clinton, but wouldn’t be shocked if it didn’t (and unless the race is very tight, the four electoral votes here won’t sway the result).

Virginia (home of the Democrat’s Vice Presidential Candidate Tim Kaine) should go for Clinton.

Florida is the big State to start coming in at 11am, and the best early indication of how the election is going. A win here for either candidate could be decisive. Reports are that the Clinton campaign has 66 field offices in Florida compared to 6 for Trump. The State will be decided in the swing counties in the centre of the state, between the Republican panhandle, and the Democrat strongholds around Miami. I’m predicting Florida will go for Clinton.

 

At 11:30am, 3 more states close.

West Virginia will go for Trump.

I’m predicting the evolving demographics of North Carolina (a truly beautiful state) means it will go for Clinton.

However, I think that Trump will win Ohio (if he doesn’t, he’s finished).

 

17 States close at Midday

Most of the small New England States will be quickly called for Clinton, along with Illinois.

A number of southern and central states (Kansas, Tennessee, Texas etc) will be called for Trump.

Of the states to watch:

Michigan should go for Clinton, but if Trump wins here in the Midwest, he’s likely on course for a win, and possibly a big win.

Pennsylvania is notionally a swing state, but Trump has never been ahead here. I’m predicting Clinton will hold it. With 20 electoral votes however, this is one of Trump’s few paths to victory.

 

12:30pm

Bill Clinton’s home state of Arkansas closes, and will likely be called for Trump straight away.

 

1pm – 10 more states close

A number of small western states will be called for Trump – Nebraska, the Dakotas, Wyoming etc – but New York with 29 votes (and the home State of both candidates) will be called for Clinton.

I’m predicting Colorado will go for Clinton, as will New Mexico.

If there’s a Trump upset coming Wisconsin might be in play, but more likely will go for Clinton.

 

5 States close at 2pm

Iowa I’m giving to Trump.

Nevada I’m giving to Clinton.

Utah however I’m giving to the independent candidate Evan McMullan, a Republican Mormon from Utah. Several polls have suggested that Republicans in Utah (many of whom are Mormons as well) won’t vote for Trump, and having a local on the ballot to vote for gives them an alternate.

Of course, if neither candidate gets to 270 but McMullan wins 6 votes in Utah, the House of Representatives would have to decide the election between the top 3 candidates (and the Senate would elect the Vice President).

 

3pm – election likely called

The west coast closes now. There are 78 safe Clinton votes in these states.

What that means is that if before 3pm Clinton has gotten to 192 votes or higher, then she’s already won, and the election will be called at 3pm when California, Oregon, Washington and Hawaii close, and their 78 votes are immediately added to her tally.

Idaho will go Trump, as will Alaska at 5pm.

 

So my total Electoral Votes are:

Clinton: 323
Trump: 209
Other: 6

 

The Senate

dk-us-senate

Some big names contesting the Senate this time around.

I have John McCain and Rob Portman in Arizona and Ohio winning their seats easily.

Marco Rubio should also hold his seat in Florida.

Of the tighter races, I think Kelly Ayotte can hold New Hampshire, but it’ll be close.

North Carolina is another tight one, but I’m giving it to Richard Burr.

That gets the Republicans to 50 and the Democrats to 50, meaning whoever is Vice President would cast the tiebreaking vote for control of the Senate. I’m pretty confident the Republicans can get to 50.

However, I’m also going to give Joe Heck the open seat in Nevada, so that’s 51 Republicans; Heck in Nevada could well decide the Senate.

I think Democrat Russ Feingold, who lost in 2010, will win back his Wisconsin seat this time.

I’m giving the Republicans Indiana as well, however Evan Bayh (quite a famous name in Indiana politics) could just as easily win.

So I’m predicting the Republicans hold the Senate 52-48, but those last 2-3 races are very close.

Control of the Senate is perhaps the most interesting thing to watch tomorrow.

 

Governors

Of the close Governors races, I’m giving North Carolina to the Democrats after Pat McCrory has had a difficult first term.

I also think Chris Sununu will win New Hampshire in a close race.

 

House of Representatives

I haven’t got time to go through every close race, but I’m predicting the Republicans led by Paul Ryan will win 229 seats, to the Democrats 206. If that happens, Democrat Leader Nancy Pelosi will be under pressure to retire, after 14 years in the role, and having won only two elections of her 7 elections as Leader.